Bears vs. Odds, Line, Spread Commanders: Thursday Night Football Picks, Top Rated Model NFL Predictions


The Washington Commanders will try to avoid losing any more ground to their improved NFC East rivals when they take on the Chicago Bears on Thursday Night Football. The Commanders (1-4) sit in last place in the division. They already trail the division leaders Eagles (5-0) by four games and the Cowboys and Giants (both 4-1) by three games. Meanwhile, the Bears (2-3) sit in third place in the NFC North, two games behind the division-leading Vikings (4-1).

Kickoff is at 8:15 pm ET in Chicago. Caesars Sportsbook lists the game as pick’em at Soldier Field, while the over/under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 38 in the latest Bears vs. Commanders. Before making any Commanders vs. Bears, be sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting tips from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has raised nearly $7,000 for $100 players on top NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 6 of the 2022 NFL season with an incredible 146-105 streak in the top picks in the NFL dating back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the last six years in direct NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed him is way up there.

Now, the model has set her sights on Bears vs. Commanders and simply pinned their TNF picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model selections. Here are the NFL odds and betting lines for Commanders vs. bears:

  • Bear Spread vs. Commanders: PK
  • Bears vs. Commanders over/under: 38 points
  • Bears vs. Money Line Commanders: Commanders -110, Bears -110
  • WASHED: Commanders are 1-4 against the spread this season
  • CHI: Bears are 2-2-1 against the spread in 2022
  • Bears picks vs. Commanders: Check out the picks on SportsLine

featured game | Chicago Bears vs. Washington Commanders

Why Commanders can cover

Washington faces an anemic offense from Chicago. The Bears are averaging just 17.2 points per game, with only four teams averaging less. They are also tied for the third fewest touchdowns on the season with eight.

Also, the Commanders will face a Chicago defense that has struggled against the run. The Bears have allowed eight rushing touchdowns this season, with only the Seahawks and Lions allowing more. Chicago has also allowed 850 rushing yards, which is one yard less than the league’s worst rushing defense (Seattle). See which team to back here.

Why the Bears can cover

The Bears are excellent rushers on offense, averaging 157.4 rushing yards per game, ranking in the top five in the NFL. That includes 4.9 yards per carry, and Chicago has a couple of dynamic running backs in David Montgomery and Khalil Herbert. Chicago enjoys success in the red zone with seven touchdowns on 12 trips inside the 20-yard line and will face a Washington defense that ranks 26th or worse in total defense, turnover creation, passing defense, pass rate. passer allowed and passing touchdowns allowed.

On defense, Chicago is giving up just 21.2 points per game and 1.83 points per series, and the Bears have forced eight turnovers in five games. Roquan Smith leads the way with an NFL-leading 54 tackles through five games, and Washington is below average in scoring offense, turnover prevention, sack prevention, rushing yards per game and rushing yards per attempt. See which team to back here.

How to make Bears vs. commanders

SportsLine’s model leans on the total, asking for a combined 42 points. It also says that one side of the spread charges more than 60% of the simulations. You can only get TNF model selections on SportsLine.

So who wins Commanders vs. Bears on Thursday Night Football? And which side of the spread is charged more than 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Commanders vs. Bears jump in, all from the advanced model that’s earned nearly $7,000 in NFL picks since 2017, and find out.


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